Worldwide Business Search Engine

Loading

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

World Housing Bubble - All Aboard!



For months, I was clearly the minority in saying that real estate prices in places like China, Australia, Canada, Hong Kong etc are experiencing a bubble. I was also the minority in saying that US home prices are, in fact, undervalued. In recent weeks though, such ideas have become accepted, even mainstream.

By now, I have to admit that I am actually sick of writing about housing bubbles. However, I know from emails I have received that as a result of these articles, at least some people have been dissuaded from purchasing high-priced condos at the edge of personal affordability, and for this I feel that repeating the same message ad nauseum is worth it.

Paradoxically, money tends to flow to assets and areas that are considered "safest," without regard to whether or not they are "reasonably priced." For investors, immediate safety of capital (or immediate gain) is paramount, and everything else is secondary. It is precisely this desire for immediate reward that results in horrible long-term investment choices.

In some countries, such as China, investment dollars are still incoming. In the US, real estate is stagnant water, despite low prices and excellent investment opportunities. In Canada, the flow is now a trickle, and ready to backflow.

The educated media is coming on board. For the masses, the onset of reality will still take several months.

____

Video: Bubble Trouble - MSN Money
___


See also the previous Frost Report articles:

The World Housing Bubble – Part II

The World Housing Bubble

____